Monday, May 21, 2012
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Comments by Fed's Bullard favor dollar

The dollar rose on Tuesday after a top Federal Reserve official said the central bank's asset purchase plan should be curtailed, but analysts said the dollar would remain under pressure on views the Fed would lag other monetary authorities in tightening policy.

The dollar was up sharply versus the yen, which retreated to post-intervention lows, and was trading little changed against the euro after initially rising on comments by St. Louis Federal Reserve bank President James Bullard.

Bullard told an audience in Prague the U.S. economy was strong enough to curtail the Fed's $600 billion bond-buying program by $100 billion. more

 

FOREX-Euro slips vs dollar, Aussie hits 29-yr high

The euro eased on Monday and could fall toward mid-March lows after a state election loss by Germany's ruling party raised doubts about the tackling of Europe's debt crisis, while the dollar was aided by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials.

 The higher-yielding Australian dollar AUD=D4, hit a 29-year peak of $1.0307, breaking past option barriers at $1.03. The recent yen-weakening intervention and stronger risk appetite were factors underpinning the Aussie's rise, traders said.

 For the euro, the failure to break through option barriers around $1.4250 last week saw some paring in speculative long positions, although support around $1.4015/35 appeared to be holding for now with bids by Asian central banks around $1.4030 were also cited.

 

Euro falls on Portugal concerns; sterling slips

Euro fell on Wednesday on concerns a political crisis in debt-ridden Portugal could force the government to seek aid, though losses in the single currency should be limited amid expectations of rising euro zone interest rates.

The euro eased from the 4-1/2-month high against the dollar set on Tuesday after failing to break through options barriers in the $1.4250 area. Analysts said the euro could dip below $1.40 in the short term, before rising toward $1.4280, the November high.

Portugal's parliament was expected to reject austerity measures, setting the stage for the possible collapse of the minority Socialist government a day before a European summit. Portuguese bond yields rose as investors priced in increased risk of a debt restructuring.

Portugal's Prime Minister Jose Socrates will make a statement at 2000 GMT, TSF radio reported on Wednesday, citing a government source.

"There's currently a lot of concern on the Portuguese budget vote and the potential political implication for it," said Mary Nicola, currency strategist at BNP Paribas in New York.

 

Euro retreats for second straight day

The dollar rose against the euro on Tuesday on fear some euro zone states won't be able to withstand higher interest rates, though further gains will likely require the Federal Reserve to hint at tighter policy.

 Tough inflation talk from European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet last week pushed the euro above $1.40 on expectations of an increase in euro zone interest rates by as early as next month.

 Recent credit downgrades for Greece and Spain reminded investors higher borrowing costs and a stronger currency would make it more difficult for debt-burdened countries to boost growth.

 "The problem with the interest rate driven trade and Trichet's hawkish comments is that you have to see the other issues behind it," said John McCarthy, director of foreign exchange at ING Capital Markets in New York. "Higher rates will be devastating on the peripheral countries." more

 

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